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after repair value

Condos, halfpipes, & cooling 2-4 units

October 26, 2020 By Ryan Lundquist 37 Comments

I have two compelling trends to share today, but fist let’s talk about a concrete halfpipe at an investor flip. I’d love to hear your take in the comments.

An investor friend just bought a house in Auburn with a halfpipe in the backyard. I’ll admit the middle school skater kid in me is stoked while the middle-aged man in me wants to relive my glory days… But what should Erin do as a flipper? Should she keep it or rip it out? Is this an asset or a liability?

This is a fun conversation, but there is a serious element here because investors come across interesting things all the time and have to make real-life decisions like this. So put your real estate cap on and let me know what you think in the comments.

Check out Erin’s Instagram (thanks for letting me share).

TWO TRENDS TO WATCH:

1) Condo sales are down 14.1% this year: I mentioned last month that condos haven’t been as popular and here’s a brand new visual to show what I mean. In short, buyers have been more focused on detached homes, which likely stems from wanting more space, privacy, and a larger backyard during the pandemic. Of course in the background low rates are a big factor because they give buyers more purchasing power (and thus shape what they can buy).

2) The cooling 2-4 unit market in Midtown: The single family market has been showing huge price increases in the Sacramento region, but the 2-4 unit market in Midtown isn’t the same temperature. When looking at the graph below do you see a flattening of prices lately? Does this surprise you?

This is something to watch and we have to keep rent control and eviction moratoriums on the suspect list when trying to understand this softer trend. Yet one of the bigger issues is these units have had massive price growth in recent years while rent growth has been slowing lately. Thus at some point when investors crunch the numbers it doesn’t make sense to pay more. For reference there isn’t an oversupply of listings in this market and demand is still strong.

Keep in mind other portions of Sacramento with lower-priced 2-4 units have still been showing an increase. These other areas have rent control too, which helps me think the flattening in Midtown is more related to flirting with a price ceiling.

Anyway, I’m thinking out loud and we need more time to see the trend. By the way, thanks to Brian McMartin and Franco Garcia for having conversations with me this week about this sub-market. I really value hearing what others are seeing out there as I run stats and interpret them.

Big point 1: The market isn’t the same everywhere.

Big point 2: Don’t take the trend in Midtown and project it on other 2-4 unit properties in the region. See point #1.

I hope that was interesting or helpful. Thanks for being here.

Questions: Should the halfpipe stay or go? Why? Any thoughts about the two trends I shared? I’d love to hear your take.

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Filed Under: Market Trends, Random Stuff Tagged With: after repair value, Appraisal, Appraiser, Bay Area buyers, buyers want a backyard, condo sales in Sacramento region, cooling 2-4 unit market, Erin Swanberg, fewer condos during pandemic, halfpipe in backyard, House Appraisal, investor decisions, investors, Midtown Sacramento, pandemic market trends, Resale Value, skate or die

There is more than one way to skin an appraisal

November 5, 2013 By Ryan Lundquist 4 Comments

There is more than one way to skin a cat, right? I’m not sure who came up with that saying, and I know it’s graphic, but the point is there are often many paths to finding a solution to a problem. The same is true with appraisals. If you give me a minute, I’d like to share a few of the different ways to appraise a property. This might help you with a situation you’re dealing with too. By the way, I do have an orange tabby cat, and his name is Rambo.

new construction appraisal - using hypothetical condition - by sacramento appraisal blog

Here are a few options appraisers have available. Some of these will relate well to loan appraisals and others might be more geared toward private appraisals.

AS-IS: This is probably the most common way to appraise a property – just as it is. The appraiser will consider whatever is there and the value will reflect the property in “as is” condition. There will be no repairs made at all.

SUBJECT TO REPAIRS: A property can also be appraised as if repairs were already done. Take the photo below as an example. During the inspection I noted obvious roof damage (there was a leak) and the AC unit was missing. Upon calling my lender client after the inspection, they instructed me to appraise the property “subject to repairs” being made. This means I gave a value to the property as if the roof damage and AC unit were already fixed – even though they were not. Then when the repairs were actually made, my client had me go back out to verify they were completed. In cases like this a lender is probably going to want to see the repairs made before the loan can close.

Before-and-After-Repairs-for-Appraisal

EXTRAORDINARY ASSUMPTION:  This is when an appraiser assumes something to be true about the property for the sake of analysis even though the appraiser does not know for sure that it is true. For instance, if an appraiser is not allowed to inspect a couple bedrooms in a house, the appraiser can make what’s called an extraordinary assumption. This means the appraiser can assume the rooms are in average condition despite not seeing the rooms (sometimes “locked” rooms are being used to grow pot). The appraiser has to believe the rooms are actually in okay shape, and the client should be on the same page for the appraiser to use such an assumption too. An appraiser really does the same thing with a “drive-by” appraisal because the appraiser has not seen the inside of the house, but is assuming it is in decent shape based on partial information from Tax Records, old MLS listings, an inspection from the street or other sources. Keep in mind many times a lender will not be okay with an appraiser using an extraordinary assumption, which means they want the appraiser to see every room. But in the case of private appraisals for Date of Death, divorce or bankruptcy, an extraordinary assumption is more commonplace.

Junologo

RETROSPECTIVE VALUE: This type of value analyzes a date in the past despite inspecting the property today. This is common for IRS appraisals where the appraiser gives a value based on the date when the property owner passed away. It’s also common with divorce appraisals if the appraiser is rendering a value based on the date when papers were filed. For example, I was hired this year to give an owner a value for a date in 1996 for tax purposes. Instead of using time travel to get back to ’96 (when I used to use Juno for email), I simply inspected the property after I was hired, and then used very old data to come up with a value based on what the market was doing in 1996.

roof-with-blue-tarp-photo-by-sacramento-appraiser

HYPOTHETICAL CONDITION:  This is when an appraiser considers something as fact for the sake of analysis even though it is not true. An appraiser does this regularly for a new construction appraisal like in the first photo above. Despite the house not being there yet, the appraiser can observe a builder’s plans and appraise a 3000 sq ft house even though it does not exist. Another example would be a client asking an appraiser to appraise a house without a roof as if it had a roof. Maybe there is some sort of insurance claim, lawsuit or repair loan going on. In a case like this the appraiser would simply use a hypothetical condition, meaning the appraiser would appraise the house as if it already had a roof even though it does not. Whenever appraisers use a hypothetical condition, it should be okay with the client in the first place and then made VERY clear in the report so the client and any readers knows what the appraiser has done.

Question: Any questions, stories or scenarios to share? Which methodologies have you encountered? Comment below.

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Filed Under: Appraisal Stuff, Resources Tagged With: after repair value, Appraised Value, appraiser photos, appraiser terminology, as is condition, as is value, before and after photos, before and after repairs, different types of appraisals, extraordinary assumption, Home Appraiser, House Appraiser, hypothetical condition, IRS appraisal, Real Estate Appraisals, repairs needed in appraisal report, retro value, retrospective value, sacramento house appraisers, subject to repairs, understanding appraisals

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